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2013-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - โœ—
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 โœ— (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - โœ—

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Greene * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 3 0 1 6 15 -
Stephen Maxwell * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 0 1 0 2 27 40 -
Stephan Hicks * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 5 0 1 24 33 -
Allan Guei * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 7 -
Tre Hale-Edmerson * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 0 6 16 -
Landon Drew 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
Donovan Johnson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
Trevone Williams 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 0 3 -
Lonnie Watson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brandon Perry 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 2 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taran Brown * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 4 16 23 -
T.J. Taylor * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 0 6 -
Sam Beeler * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 3 0 15 24 -
Michael Bryson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 8 3 -
Lewis Thomas * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Kyle Boswell 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 15 15 -
Nate Garth 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 3 5 -
Mitch Brewe 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 2 9 -
Keegan Hornbuckle 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 12 -
Duke DaRe 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Shawn Moore 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter