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Central Connecticut Blue Devils 78
@
Quinnipiac Bobcats 85
2013-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Central Connecticut Blue Devils Quinnipiac Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 39.6% 60.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% - ✗
Margin 43.7% 56.3% - ✓
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.4% 56.6% - ✓

Actual: Quinnipiac Bobcats +7 (85-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Hunter * 40 5-13 2-5 1-3 4 2 1 0 1 13 6 +2.2
Malcolm McMillan * 36 4-6 2-2 0-1 6 3 1 0 1 10 13 +0.5
Kyle Vinales * 34 12-20 1-3 7-9 1 4 0 0 2 32 15 -3.1
Adonis Burbage * 33 1-6 0-1 3-5 1 0 0 0 0 5 0 +5.1
Brandon Peel * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.4
Terrell Allen 26 3-10 1-3 1-2 9 0 1 1 0 8 9 -3.7
Joe Efese 25 5-7 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 3 1 10 9 +6.0
Greg Andrade 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Andrew Hurd 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.8

Quinnipiac Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ike Azotam * 32 4-10 0-0 5-6 17 1 1 1 3 13 20 +6.4
Jamee Jackson * 30 5-10 0-0 4-8 8 0 0 2 0 14 14 -10.7
Dave Johnson * 30 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 8 0 0 1 4 9 -5.5
Zaid Hearst * 27 7-16 1-5 2-3 1 1 1 0 1 17 3 -5.6
Evan Conti * 13 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 6 7 -4.0
Shaq Shannon 26 6-10 6-10 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 18 15 +9.5
Ousmane Drame 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 +1.4
Kendrick Ray 14 3-6 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 7 6 -8.6
Garvey Young 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.6
James Ford Jr 5 1-2 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 +3.1

* = starter