Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.5% | 29.5% | -4.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Dickerson * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Cody Doolin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Tim Derksen * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chris Adams * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| De'End Parker | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Matt Christiansen | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Mark Tollefsen | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tao Xu | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Avry Holmes | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Frank Rogers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nicholas * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 30 | - |
| D. Rodgers * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | - |
| O. Reinfelds * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Pressley | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| R. Barker | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Ehlers | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Ahern | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter