Model Predictions
| Model | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oakland Golden Grizzlies +18 (89-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
IU Indianapolis Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Esposito * | 40 | 7-13 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | -4.4 |
| Greg Rice * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Mitch Patton * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -10.5 |
| Donovan Gibbs * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -2.9 |
| P.J. Hubert * | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Jordan Shanklin | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Nick Kitcoff | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +10.9 |
| Lyonell Gaines | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.5 |
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Bader * | 40 | 15-24 | 11-18 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 47 | 27 | - |
| Ryan Bass * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Corey Petros * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | -7.3 |
| Drew Valentine * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +12.4 |
| Dante Williams * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +5.2 |
| Duke Mondy | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | +1.6 |
| Raphael Carter | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -10.7 |
| Matt Poches | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3.5 |
| Lloyd Neely II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Joey Asbury | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Mitch Baenziger | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.6 |
| Jordan Howenstine | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
| Korab Imami | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
* = starter