Model Predictions
| Model | Wyoming Cowboys | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +12 (62-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrious Gilmore * | 39 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Leonard Washington * | 39 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 14 | -0.1 |
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 35 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +1.7 |
| Josh Adams * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Riley Grabau * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.4 |
| Nathan Sobey | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -4.2 |
| Derek Cooke Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.5 |
| Jack Bentz | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Jason McManamen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Marshall * | 35 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Anthony Bennett * | 28 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Katin Reinhardt * | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -11.7 |
| Mike Moser * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +3.4 |
| Khem Birch * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -8.4 |
| Justin Hawkins | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +13.5 |
| Quintrell Thomas | 22 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +10.4 |
| Bryce Dejean-Jones | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +16.5 |
| Daquan Cook | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.9 |
* = starter