Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +2 (66-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Williams * | 37 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 17 | -0.8 |
| Raijon Kelly * | 34 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +3.9 |
| Will Cook * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Connor Miller * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -8 | -2.1 |
| Tyler Hood | 22 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +1.1 |
| Clide Geffrard, Jr. | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -4.2 |
| Russell Wilson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -4.4 |
| Brandon Hayman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.3 |
| Jaylen Beckham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevis Simpson * | 32 | 9-21 | 2-6 | 10-12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 12 | +3.4 |
| David Williams * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -1.9 |
| Derrell Armstrong * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | +3.8 |
| Drew Parker * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +2.5 |
| Kayel Locke * | 19 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Kelvin McNeil | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +5.2 |
| Nicholas Paulos | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -5.4 |
| Jordan Potts | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Brian Cole | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.3 |
* = starter