Model Predictions
| Model | Belmont Bruins | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.0% | 10.0% | -12.1 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -1 (63-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Clark * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Trevor Noack * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Mann * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Kerron Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Blake Jenkins * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Reece Chamberlain | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Baker | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Craig Bradshaw | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Laidig | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Adam Barnes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Holden Mobley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chad Lang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bakari Turner * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Drew Kelly * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Chad Posthumus * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Devon Atkinson * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Angelo Warner * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Milton Chavis | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Taariq Muhammad | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Reed | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jarrett Stokes | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kahlil Owens | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Holmes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter