Model Predictions
| Model | Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | Monmouth Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Monmouth Hawks +19 (73-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melquan Bolding * | 36 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 9 | -15.3 |
| Kinu Rochford * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -5.7 |
| Lonnie Robinson * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2 | -15.0 |
| Sidney Sanders Jr. * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -10.7 |
| Mustafaa Jones * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -10.5 |
| Yves Jules | 21 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | -3.2 |
| Xavier Harris | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Trevor Charles | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Mathias Seilund | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Sekou Harris | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
| Dylan Moody | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.8 |
| Kyle Pearson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Monmouth Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Nesmith * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | +9.7 |
| Jesse Steele * | 29 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Christian White * | 28 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | +16.4 |
| Stephen Spinella * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Tyrone O'Garro * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Marcus Ware | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +15.6 |
| Ed Waite | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Max DiLeo | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Jalen Palm | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7.0 |
| Gary Cox | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +2.0 |
* = starter