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Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Loyola Marymount Lions Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% - โœ—
Margin 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—
Pythagorean 49.4% 50.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - โœ—

Actual: Loyola Marymount Lions -3 (57-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lorne Jackson * 37 5-12 0-3 3-6 5 2 4 0 4 13 8 +2.1
Jordan Baker * 37 8-15 3-6 2-5 7 3 2 0 4 21 14 +3.9
Moriba De Freitas * 26 1-2 0-0 5-5 4 2 1 1 0 7 13 -0.9
Nikolas Skouen * 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 3 2 -2.7
Jett Raines * 13 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -10.6
Stacy Davis 33 3-8 0-0 1-2 10 4 0 1 5 7 9 +13.6
Atif Russell 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 +0.7
Jan Maehlen 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 +1.6
Austin Mills 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -2.0

Loyola Marymount Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Ireland * 39 4-18 2-14 4-4 7 3 3 0 1 14 8 +2.6
Ayodeji Egbeyemi * 34 5-10 1-5 0-0 8 4 2 0 2 11 13 -8.1
Bruce English * 32 2-8 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 4 -6 -5.0
Ashley Hamilton * 31 4-8 1-1 1-2 4 2 2 1 2 10 9 -0.2
Alex Osborne * 27 4-6 0-0 2-3 4 0 4 3 1 10 14 -2.1
Godwin Okonji 21 2-2 0-0 2-5 5 0 0 0 1 6 8 -3.2
Nick Stover 14 1-9 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -0.4
Taylor Walker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.0

* = starter