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2013-01-24

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 17.6% 82.4% -
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.2% 85.8% -
Log Adjusted 14.0% 86.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +20 (83-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Haws * 33 0-9 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 2 1 -5 -
M. Carlino * 32 4-11 1-7 2-2 1 4 4 0 4 11 5 -
B. Davies * 29 5-13 0-0 4-5 6 0 3 0 4 14 6 -
B. Zylstra * 20 1-6 1-2 3-3 4 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
J. Sharp * 18 5-6 0-1 4-6 1 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
N. Austin 27 4-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 2 3 2 9 12 -
A. Winder 18 2-8 1-4 1-2 1 2 2 0 0 6 3 -
C. Cusick 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
B. Kaufusi 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
R. Delgado 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ambrosino 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Pangos * 38 4-9 4-8 0-0 3 2 3 0 4 12 7 -
E. Harris * 33 8-11 0-1 9-13 10 1 1 2 1 25 27 -
K. Olynyk * 31 9-9 0-0 8-8 9 5 1 1 3 26 30 -
G. Bell Jr. * 27 2-10 1-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 5 5 -3 -
M. Hart * 18 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
D. Stockton 18 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 3 2 0 1 4 7 -
D. Barham 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Dower 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
P. Karnowski 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
K. Dranginis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
G. Edi 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter