Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +20 (83-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Haws * | 33 | 0-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5 | -7.6 |
| Matt Carlino * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | +12.2 |
| Brandon Davies * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Brock Zylstra * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Josh Sharp * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | -14.0 |
| Nate Austin | 27 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Anson Winder | 18 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Craig Cusick | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -10.7 |
| Bronson Kaufusi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Raul Delgado | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Agustin Ambrosino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Pangos * | 38 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | +8.8 |
| Elias Harris * | 33 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 27 | +11.2 |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 31 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 30 | +7.6 |
| Gary Bell Jr. * | 27 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3 | +12.9 |
| Mike Hart * | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +4.7 |
| David Stockton | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -5.5 |
| Drew Barham | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +6.3 |
| Sam Dower | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -10.7 |
| Przemek Karnowski | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.5 |
| Kyle Dranginis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Guy Edi | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.6 |
* = starter