Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +34 (71-37). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Lawrence-Ricks * | 39 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -16.4 |
| Isaiah Morton * | 34 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | -16.0 |
| Chavaughn Lewis * | 30 | 2-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -8 | -13.1 |
| Adam Kemp * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -10.0 |
| Anell Alexis * | 24 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -6.8 |
| Manny Thomas | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -13.7 |
| T.J. Curry | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Pieter Prinsloo | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Eric Truog | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Gilbert * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Desmond Wade * | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +14.5 |
| Amadou Sidibe * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +7.8 |
| Derek Needham * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Josip Mikulic * | 25 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +19.3 |
| Steve Johnston | 23 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +15.2 |
| Colin Nickerson | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +13.3 |
| Coleman Johnson | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Maurice Barrow | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Keith Matthews | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter