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Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Eastern Illinois Panthers Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Margin 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“
Pythagorean 27.6% 72.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“

Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +13 (69-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mike Liabo * 35 3-11 3-8 0-0 5 1 1 1 2 9 4 -7.0
Terence Smith * 34 5-10 2-2 1-2 6 7 2 2 6 13 14 -5.6
Myles Taylor * 33 8-14 1-1 4-9 6 2 1 1 0 21 17 -8.5
Jeremy Washington * 21 1-6 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 2 -1 -15.3
Bobby Jones * 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 6 5 -19.9
Dee Oldham 25 0-3 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 0 -4.6
DeMarc Richardson 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 1 +10.8
Omari Minor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -10.1
Justin Childs 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -3.1
Tobias Dowdell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Eastern Illinois Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sherman Blanford * 32 5-9 0-0 5-7 7 3 1 3 3 15 17 +6.7
Josh Piper * 31 4-10 2-7 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 5 +10.7
Morris Woods * 31 5-7 0-0 5-9 11 1 2 2 4 15 20 +4.3
Austin Akers * 31 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 4 7 +3.1
Taylor Jones * 25 1-5 1-3 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 7 3 +6.6
Alex Austin 23 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 5 6 +1.9
Malcolm Herron 17 5-6 3-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 13 8 +7.1
Cameron Harvey 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 +4.3
Keenen Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.3

* = starter