Model Predictions
| Model | McNeese Cowboys | Central Arkansas Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Central Arkansas Bears +5 (103-98). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
McNeese Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Hardy | 52 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-8 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 21 | - |
| Desharick Guidry | 50 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Dontae Cannon | 47 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Austin Lewis | 42 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ledrick Eackles | 37 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Jeremie Mitchell | 22 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Adrian Fields | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Craig McFerrin | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Pete Kpan | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Garner | 48 | 14-19 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 38 | - |
| LaQuentin Miles | 43 | 10-20 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Robert Crawford | 35 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| DeShone McClure | 32 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Borden | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Daouda Berete | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Lenell Brown | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Harks | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Williams | 13 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Tirrell Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Oliver Wells | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Padgett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter