Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -7 (88-95). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Seeley * | 39 | 11-16 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 27 | +10.3 |
| Sammy Yeager * | 38 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Kwame Vaughn * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Alex Harris * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +0.1 |
| Deuce Johnson * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5.0 |
| Jared Brandon | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +3.1 |
| James Douglas | 14 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +3.5 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sypkens * | 37 | 6-15 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Corey Hawkins * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | -3.6 |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 26 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2.5 |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 17 | -7.5 |
| Tyler Les | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Ryan Howley | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -12.3 |
| Olivier-Paul Betu | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter