Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -8 (64-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Knight * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -3.7 |
| Bruce Massey * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -2.6 |
| JT Sulton * | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Kerry Hammonds II * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Neiko Hunter * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Shawn Jones | 28 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.4 |
| James Gallman | 20 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | -8.4 |
| Tweety Knight | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Jason Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.6 |
| Raymond Cintron | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +1.7 |
| Torin Walker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Hardwick * | 40 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Tony Mitchell * | 39 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 2 | +7.6 |
| Jordan Williams * | 38 | 5-16 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Roger Franklin * | 31 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +7.8 |
| Niko Stojiljkovic | 34 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +8.1 |
| Clarke Overlander | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.8 |
| Keith Coleman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Justin Patton | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 |
* = starter