Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | New Hampshire Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Hampshire Wildcats -11 (40-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Nwakamma * | 37 | 11-20 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Yolonzo Moore II * | 30 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Evan Cooper * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nate Sikma * | 21 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Corban Wroe * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Wes Cole | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jamie Schneck | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| John Peterson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Parker U'u | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Oren Faulk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Hampshire Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Rhoads * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Ferg Myrick * | 33 | 4-14 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Chris Matagrano * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Patrick Konan * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Chris Orozco * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordon Bronner | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Scott Morris | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Logan Mortenson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeron Trotman | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Frank Okeke | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tommy McDonnell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter