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2013-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 3.6% 96.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.6% 95.4% - โœ“
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 โœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.2% 97.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +19 (70-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Morgan * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 10 13 -
C. Hansen * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 11 -
A. Hatchett * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 6 9 -
N. Walters * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 12 16 -
T. Sanchez 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 5 9 -
N. Ezenwa 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 5 9 -
A. Preh 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Baldwin 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
D. Kostur 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Kusmieruk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Mason 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kareem Jamar * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 7 0 0 2 11 23 -
Mathias Ward * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 1 21 28 -
Will Cherry * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 4 6 10 -
Jordan Gregory * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
Spencer Coleman 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 20 22 -
Michael Weisner 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 2 9 -
Eric Hutchison 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 7 -
Keron DeShields 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
Kevin Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Morgan Young 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jacob Wiley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Nick Emerson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter