Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee Volunteers | Ole Miss Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ole Miss Rebels +6 (62-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan McRae * | 39 | 7-15 | 1-5 | 11-14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 12 | +0.7 |
| Kenny Hall * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Jarnell Stokes * | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -10.9 |
| Josh Richardson * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Skylar McBee * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +4.2 |
| Armani Moore | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -5.7 |
| Trae Golden | 25 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | -13.5 |
| Yemi Makanjuola | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Derek Reese | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.2 |
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshall Henderson * | 32 | 7-16 | 6-15 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 13 | +16.4 |
| Jarvis Summers * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Reginald Buckner * | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | +6.8 |
| Murphy Holloway * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | +8.3 |
| LaDarius White * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -8.6 |
| Nick Williams | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +13.2 |
| Aaron Jones | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -3.7 |
| Terry Brutus | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Derrick Millinghaus | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Martavious Newby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.7 |
* = starter