Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Byrd * | 39 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Ronnie Johnson * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Rapheal Davis * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Terone Johnson * | 30 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Donnie Hale | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jacob Lawson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Robinson III * | 37 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 36 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mitch McGary | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jon Horford | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter