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Model Predictions

Model Louisiana Tech Bulldogs San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 78.3% 21.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 79.3% 20.7% - ✓
Margin 64.5% 35.5% - ✓
Pythagorean 69.3% 30.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 90.9% 9.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 63.4% 36.6% - ✓

Actual: San José State Spartans -22 (54-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Speedy Smith * 28 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 +7.6
Raheem Appleby * 26 6-14 3-6 2-2 2 1 3 0 0 17 9 +11.8
Brandon Gibson * 18 5-8 2-5 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 13 9 +3.4
Michale Kyser * 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 1 8 9 +8.5
Cordarius Johnson * 8 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -3 +2.0
Alex Hamilton 25 6-10 0-1 3-3 6 8 4 0 1 15 22 +18.5
Chris Anderson 19 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 3 5 +17.1
Kenyon McNeail 18 2-7 0-3 4-4 2 1 2 0 0 8 6 +17.6
Jaron Johnson 15 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 +6.8
J.L. Lewis 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 3 2 3 +8.0
Isaiah Massey 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 +2.5
Stojan Gjuroski 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.4
Gilbert Talbot 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.9

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Cunningham * 34 2-4 0-0 5-8 7 0 0 0 0 9 12 -9.9
LaVanne Pennington * 29 3-9 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 7 -1 -8.2
Louis Garrett * 16 1-7 0-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 3 -3 -8.9
Alex Brown * 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -10.3
D.J. Brown 35 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 11 7 -19.6
David Andoh 31 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 2 4 6 -18.7
Aalim Moor 17 6-12 2-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 14 6 -10.3
Xavier Jones 14 3-7 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 2 6 0 -11.9
Chris Jones 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -4.0
Mike VanKirk 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.5
Jaleel Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -11.0

* = starter