Model Predictions
| Model | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | San José State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San José State Spartans -22 (54-76). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Speedy Smith * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +7.6 |
| Raheem Appleby * | 26 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +11.8 |
| Brandon Gibson * | 18 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Michale Kyser * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +8.5 |
| Cordarius Johnson * | 8 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +2.0 |
| Alex Hamilton | 25 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | +18.5 |
| Chris Anderson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +17.1 |
| Kenyon McNeail | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +17.6 |
| Jaron Johnson | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | +6.8 |
| J.L. Lewis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +8.0 |
| Isaiah Massey | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Stojan Gjuroski | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.4 |
| Gilbert Talbot | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Cunningham * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | -9.9 |
| LaVanne Pennington * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -1 | -8.2 |
| Louis Garrett * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -8.9 |
| Alex Brown * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.3 |
| D.J. Brown | 35 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -19.6 |
| David Andoh | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -18.7 |
| Aalim Moor | 17 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -10.3 |
| Xavier Jones | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -11.9 |
| Chris Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| Mike VanKirk | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Jaleel Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.0 |
* = starter