Model Predictions
| Model | North Dakota Fighting Hawks | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +9 (67-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Schuler * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -14.0 |
| Aaron Anderson * | 35 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | -5.9 |
| Troy Huff * | 34 | 9-18 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | -2.9 |
| Jamal Webb * | 31 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | -12.0 |
| Mitch Wilmer * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -7.9 |
| Lenny Antwi | 20 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Jordan Allard | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -11.3 |
| Doug Archer | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +10.4 |
| Shane Benton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Eberhard * | 36 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Julian Demalleville * | 35 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | +9.8 |
| John Dickson * | 25 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Konner Veteto * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Mikh McKinney * | 21 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Joey Quigley | 30 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Cody Dempsey | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jackson Carbajal | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Dreon Barlett | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.8 |
| Jordan Salley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter