Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +7 (68-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Griffin * | 37 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -9.7 |
| Reggie Arceneaux * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -4.4 |
| Cole Darling * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | -5.1 |
| AJ Pacher * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -11.9 |
| Matt Vest * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Miles Dixon | 23 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | -9.5 |
| Jerran Young | 22 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | -5.9 |
| Joe Bramanti | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Tavares Sledge | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +4.5 |
| JT Yoho | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.9 |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Cole * | 40 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | +4.9 |
| Kendrick Perry * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 18 | +11.9 |
| Blake Allen * | 37 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +0.6 |
| Damian Eargle * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +9.7 |
| Kamren Belin * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +6.9 |
| Shawn Amiker | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Josh Chojnacki | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Bobby Hain | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.7 |
* = starter