Model Predictions
| Model | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +6 (61-55). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Landis | 33 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Kevin Hartley | 31 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Tashan Newsome | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -19.9 |
| Jerome Hill | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Tyler Strange | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -4.2 |
| Jarvis Davis | 16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6.2 |
| Donta Harper | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Onzie Branch | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -15.2 |
| Mike Byron | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Isaiah Ivey | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.5 |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Smith | 35 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | +13.0 |
| Joab Jerome | 32 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6.6 |
| James Bourne | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | +12.2 |
| Larry Brown | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Derrick Henry | 25 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -3.5 |
| Gideon Gamble | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +14.4 |
| Christian Farmer | 14 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +16.3 |
| Steve Johnson | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Reggie King | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Shola Diop | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +4.4 |
* = starter