Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.7% | 1.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.7% | 1.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -10 (52-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetric Williams * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -9.0 |
| Tekele Cotton * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -13.7 |
| Cleanthony Early * | 28 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | -0.9 |
| Malcolm Armstead * | 26 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Ehimen Orukpe * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Carl Hall | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 14 | -3.3 |
| Fred VanVleet | 22 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -0.4 |
| Nick Wiggins | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Jake White | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.3 |
| Chadrack Lufile | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.7 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Marshall * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +8.9 |
| Gavin Thurman * | 36 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Anthony Downing * | 33 | 4-14 | 0-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +9.8 |
| Dorrian Williams * | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Christian Kirk * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +6.7 |
| Drew Wilson | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Keith Pickens | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Nathan Scheer | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +7.9 |
| Bruce Marshall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Michael Simpson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Tomie Aromona | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter