Model Predictions
| Model | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks -9 (64-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demitrius Conger * | 38 | 9-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | +16.1 |
| Matthew Wright * | 35 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +13.5 |
| Chris Johnson * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +12.0 |
| Eric Mosley * | 23 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +11.5 |
| Youssou Ndoye * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +1.6 |
| Marquise Simmons | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +10.0 |
| Charlon Kloof | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.1 |
| Michael Davenport | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Jordan Gathers | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -0.2 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Roberts Jr. * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -11.3 |
| C.J. Aiken * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -6.3 |
| Chris Wilson * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -12.0 |
| Langston Galloway * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -18.9 |
| Papa Ndao * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -10.4 |
| Carl Jones | 33 | 2-11 | 0-7 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Halil Kanacevic | 29 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | +3.1 |
| Daryus Quarles | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Evan Maschmeyer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.3 |
* = starter