Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +30 (66-36). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Barnes * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | -16.2 |
| Tyrone White * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -7 | -23.0 |
| Britton Williams * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -13.3 |
| Javonte Maynor * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -11.6 |
| Corey Hall * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Adam Young | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -13.4 |
| Erik Kinney | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -15.4 |
| Stephon Carter | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -7.5 |
| Matt Ratto | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -17.0 |
| Kregg Jones | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Dee Wallace | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Trasolini * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +22.1 |
| Kevin Foster * | 29 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +24.4 |
| Evan Roquemore * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +17.3 |
| Raymond Cowels III * | 23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +24.2 |
| Robert Garrett * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Julian Clarke | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +6.1 |
| Yannick Atanga | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +12.8 |
| Niyi Harrison | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | +12.5 |
| Brandon Clark | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +5.7 |
| Denzel Johnson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.5 |
| John McArthur | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
| Kyle Perricone | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +2.8 |
* = starter