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Model Predictions

Model Charleston Southern Buccaneers Presbyterian Blue Hose Spread Result
Elo 75.3% 24.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.9% 21.1% - โœ“
Margin 77.6% 22.4% - โœ“
Pythagorean 90.6% 9.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 97.6% 2.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 97.6% 2.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 78.1% 21.9% - โœ“

Actual: Presbyterian Blue Hose -20 (59-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mathiang Muo * 34 3-11 2-7 2-3 9 1 1 0 2 10 8 +2.5
Jeremy Sexton * 34 7-10 4-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 18 10 +7.5
Saah Nimley * 33 7-17 5-10 7-9 9 3 1 0 3 26 19 +13.0
Arlon Harper * 19 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 -1 +5.4
Alhaji Fullah * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 6 -0.5
Paul Gombwer 27 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 0 4 9 +8.3
Sheldon Strickland 26 5-11 3-7 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 15 6 -4.5
Malcolm Bernard 9 1-3 1-1 1-3 2 0 1 0 0 4 4 +1.1
Matt Kennedy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.2
Greg Dorleus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2
Mitchell Deter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2
Joe Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

Presbyterian Blue Hose

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khalid Mutakabbir * 37 6-18 1-5 3-3 5 2 1 0 2 16 4 -10.1
Jordan Downing * 37 4-12 2-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 10 -2 -12.5
Joshua Clyburn * 26 2-8 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 1 1 7 4 -5.1
Eric Washington * 24 4-9 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 11 6 -5.6
Ryan Hargrave * 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 +0.6
Ryan McTavish 27 2-7 0-3 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 6 6 -15.2
William Truss 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 6 8 -5.8
Austin Anderson 16 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -4.7

* = starter