Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -21 (57-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 24 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| W. Shepard | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 16 | - |
| X. Thames | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Spencer | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Polee II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 21 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 21 | - |
| M. Story * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| J. Burris * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Panzer * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Coleman | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Huff | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Fall | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Elliott | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter