Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware Blue Hens | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +14 (64-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Delaware Blue Hens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Saddler * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | -14.0 |
| Jarvis Threatt * | 35 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 9-12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -11.7 |
| Jamelle Hagins * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -10.1 |
| Kyle Anderson * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -13.6 |
| Josh Brinkley * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -11.5 |
| Carl Baptiste | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -6.4 |
| Terrell Rogers | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Marvin King-Davis | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.5 |
| Larry Savage | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Moore * | 38 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +17.4 |
| Ron Curry * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | +11.0 |
| Rayshawn Goins * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | +7.8 |
| Andre Nation * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +18.5 |
| Alioune Diouf * | 12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +2.9 |
| A.J. Davis | 25 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | +9.6 |
| Taylor Bessick | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | +19.4 |
| Enoch Hood | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -3.7 |
* = starter