Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +5 (66-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Eikmeier * | 39 | 8-16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Colton Iverson * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 32 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Dorian Green * | 29 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Greg Smith * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Bejarano | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jon Octeus | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joe De Ciman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Gerson Santo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 31 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | - |
| Chad Adams * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Alex Kirk * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nick Banyard | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Pancake Thomas | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter