Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -12 (60-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Angelo Harrison * | 39 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 6 | +13.2 |
| Sir'Dominic Pointer * | 37 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 28 | +15.0 |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 36 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9.1 |
| Jamal Branch * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -0.5 |
| Phil Greene IV * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.1 |
| Chris Obekpa | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Amir Garrett | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Marc-Antoine Bourgault | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Christian Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Felix Balamou | 3 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -1.4 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Myles Mack * | 31 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Jerome Seagears * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2.1 |
| Eli Carter * | 28 | 1-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -5 | -8.4 |
| Dane Miller * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -6.2 |
| Wally Judge * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -3.9 |
| Mike Poole | 25 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Kadeem Jack | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Austin Johnson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Malick Kone | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2.3 |
* = starter