Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Towson Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Towson Tigers -10 (67-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Wright * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 14-17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Bryon Allen * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Corey Edwards * | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Johnny Williams * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Erik Copes * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marko Gujanicic | 24 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Vertrail Vaughns | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Arledge | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Patrick Holloway | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anali Okoloji | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerrelle Benimon * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Bilal Dixon * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Damas * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Mike Burwell * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jerome Hairston * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -8 | - |
| Rafriel Guthrie | 28 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Kris Walden | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Timajh Parker-Rivera | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jamel Flash | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter