Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Northeastern Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northeastern Huskies +4 (95-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Thornton * | 47 | 7-16 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 13 | -8.5 |
| Tim Rusthoven * | 38 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 28 | +9.9 |
| Terry Tarpey * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -7.0 |
| Julian Boatner * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Tom Schalk * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Kyle Gaillard | 37 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Brandon Britt | 34 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Matt Rum | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | -7.6 |
| Fred Heldring | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.8 |
| Sean Sheldon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
Northeastern Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Lee * | 50 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +1.7 |
| David Walker * | 44 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +11.8 |
| Joel Smith * | 44 | 11-14 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 22 | -2.1 |
| Quincy Ford * | 38 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +7.9 |
| Reggie Spencer * | 31 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Zach Stahl | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Demetrius Pollard | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Dinko Marshavelski | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter