Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +26 (96-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Steele * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Gavin Ware * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Colin Borchert * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Fred Thomas | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Baxter Price | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Madden * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Fred Gulley * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Marshawn Powell * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Hunter Mickelson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Rickey Scott * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Coty Clarke | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| B.J. Young | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Mardracus Wade | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| Kikko Haydar | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Michael Qualls | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jacorey Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Anthlon Bell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| DeQuavious Wagner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Davion Spivey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Charlie Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter