Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UAB Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UAB Blazers -6 (85-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Paul * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 24 | +4.8 |
| Ty Armstrong * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | +8.6 |
| Maurice Kemp * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 13 | +6.2 |
| Robert Sampson * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -0.3 |
| Paris Roberts-Campbell * | 29 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Akeem Richmond | 16 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +11.4 |
| Marshall Guilmette | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -7.5 |
| Corvonn Gaines | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -3.5 |
| Prince Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.4 |
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod Rucker * | 34 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | -4.5 |
| Terence Jones * | 29 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | -4.6 |
| Fahro Alihodzic * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -4.9 |
| Preston Purifoy * | 27 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +4.1 |
| Robert Williams * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Jordan Swing | 33 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Quincy Taylor | 21 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +0.8 |
| Isiah Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.6 |
* = starter