Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | Maine Black Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Maine Black Bears +3 (71-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clancy Rugg * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Brian Voelkel * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Sandro Carissimo * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Ethan O'Day * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Candon Rusin * | 21 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Trey Blue | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Ben Crenca | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Kilpatrick | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Elbaum | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alasdair Fraser * | 40 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Justin Edwards * | 37 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Mike Allison * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zarko Valjarevic * | 30 | 4-12 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jon Mesghna * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jon McAllian | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Shaun Lawton | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Till Gloger | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Stefan Micovic | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter