Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✗ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -2 (47-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 39 | 6-17 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Travis Trice | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Costello | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Berggren * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ben Brust * | 35 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Mike Bruesewitz * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Evans * | 34 | 2-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Traevon Jackson * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| George Marshall | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Sam Dekker | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Evan Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter