Model Predictions
| Model | Tulane Green Wave | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +11 (71-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Tulane Green Wave
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Davis * | 39 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Tarrant Jr. * | 36 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Timmons * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Callahan * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Tre Drye * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jay Hook | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lotanna Nwogbo | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Louis Dabney | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Josh Birchfield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geron Johnson * | 37 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| DJ Stephens * | 36 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Joe Jackson * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Adonis Thomas * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 28 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tarik Black | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Antonio Barton | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ferrakohn Hall | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter