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2013-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% - โœ“
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +9 (72-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Marble * 30 2-11 1-4 3-6 3 2 1 0 0 8 3 -
Aaron White * 26 5-11 0-1 3-7 7 0 1 0 2 13 8 -
Mike Gesell * 26 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 6 -1 -
Anthony Clemmons * 22 3-9 1-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 9 5 -
Adam Woodbury * 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
Melsahn Basabe 27 3-7 0-0 1-2 10 0 0 0 1 7 9 -
Eric May 21 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 6 -
Gabriel Olaseni 15 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Zach McCabe 15 2-4 0-1 4-7 2 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
Josh Oglesby 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Patrick Ingram 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deshaun Thomas * 37 6-11 2-5 2-2 7 1 1 1 1 16 14 -
L. Smith Jr. * 32 5-11 0-2 2-2 6 2 1 1 2 12 9 -
Aaron Craft * 32 2-5 0-1 8-10 3 5 4 0 6 12 13 -
Sam Thompson * 21 3-4 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
Amir Williams * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 6 1 2 7 -
Evan Ravenel 23 5-9 0-0 1-3 6 1 0 1 1 11 9 -
LaQuinton Ross 20 3-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 7 3 -
Shannon Scott 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 4 3 -

* = starter