Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Christian Huskies | Kansas City Roos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kansas City Roos -2 (61-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Christian Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Crayton * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Hill * | 32 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Art Bernardi * | 32 | 8-11 | 2-2 | 7-10 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 30 | - |
| Marcel Smith * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Cody Joyce * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D.C. Womack | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Rob Lewis | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Lamar Thomas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| James Harper | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Kansas City Roos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estan Tyler * | 35 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Fred Chatmon * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Washington * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Kirk Korver * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Trinity Hall * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Thomas Staton | 28 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Nelson Kirksey | 23 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Nate Rogers | 22 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Brad Reid | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mason Wedel | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter