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Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Maryland Terrapins Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Margin 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 15.0% 85.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“

Actual: Maryland Terrapins +5 (64-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Olivier Hanlan * 38 6-15 2-5 4-5 7 5 0 0 3 18 12 +2.2
Ryan Anderson * 37 7-14 0-0 5-8 7 1 3 0 2 19 14 -3.9
Joe Rahon * 37 1-5 1-5 0-2 3 2 0 0 2 3 1 +0.9
Lonnie Jackson * 34 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 9 5 +2.9
Patrick Heckmann * 23 2-9 2-8 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 6 2 +2.2
Dennis Clifford 19 0-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 1 5 -14.3
Danny Rubin 7 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 +0.6
Eddie Odio 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2
Kyle Caudill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Maryland Terrapins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Len * 34 7-14 0-0 2-4 13 1 0 0 2 16 14 -3.5
Nick Faust * 28 4-9 1-4 2-2 7 1 2 0 4 11 8 +5.9
Jake Layman * 28 5-9 2-4 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 15 11 +9.1
Dez Wells * 21 2-5 1-1 0-0 5 8 1 0 3 5 11 +11.1
Charles Mitchell * 14 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 +0.1
Seth Allen 22 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 3 2 -8.5
Pe'Shon Howard 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -5.7
Logan Aronhalt 17 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 +5.4
James Padgett 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 +0.5
Shaquille Cleare 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 +9.8

* = starter