Model Predictions
| Model | Bethune-Cookman Wildcats | Savannah State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Savannah State Tigers +3 (43-40). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dukes * | 38 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Javoris Bryant * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Johnson * | 35 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alex Smith * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Marc Mack * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Adrien Coleman | 32 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Paul Scotland | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Malik Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Stewart | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Savannah State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khiry White * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cedric Smith * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Preston Blackman * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Rashad Hassan * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Christopher Spears * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Arnold Louis | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Robert Burger | 22 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jyles Smith | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Patrick Hendley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stephen Wilson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Marcus Hutchins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter