Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags -5 (60-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Williams * | 39 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +4.0 |
| Dylon Cormier * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 9-13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | +8.8 |
| Erik Etherly * | 35 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +6.7 |
| Jordan Latham * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +13.9 |
| Robert Olson * | 23 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Anthony Winbush | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Julius Brooks | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.6 |
| Franz Rassman | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Eric Laster | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.2 |
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Needham * | 38 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | -4.7 |
| Colin Nickerson * | 29 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | -7.0 |
| Maurice Barrow * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Marcus Gilbert * | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Keith Matthews * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -4.9 |
| Amadou Sidibe | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -6.2 |
| Desmond Wade | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Josip Mikulic | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Justin Jenkins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.1 |
| Coleman Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter