Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Detroit Mercy Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -2 (62-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Griffin * | 33 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Cole Darling * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Reggie Arceneaux * | 30 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Matt Vest * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tavares Sledge * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jerran Young | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Miles Dixon | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Joe Bramanti | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| AJ Pacher | 10 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| JT Yoho | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Gossard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray McCallum * | 40 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jason Calliste * | 40 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Nick Minnerath * | 37 | 2-11 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Doug Anderson * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Juwan Howard Jr. * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Boutte | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ugochukwu Njoku | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jermaine Lippert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Anton Wilson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter