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2013-01-21

Model Predictions

Model Southern Jaguars Alabama A&M Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 86.8% 13.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.5% 21.5% - โœ“
Margin 90.8% 9.2% -12.6 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 78.5% 21.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.4% 5.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 75.3% 24.7% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derick Beltran * 40 7-13 4-7 6-8 1 1 2 0 0 24 15 -
Brandon Moore * 29 4-5 0-0 1-1 9 0 1 3 1 9 16 -
Javan Mitchell * 19 3-10 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 3 2 7 3 -
Cameron Monroe * 18 2-2 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 6 9 -
Christopher Hyder * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 0 8 -
Malcolm Miller 30 7-15 3-8 2-4 3 1 1 1 1 19 9 -
Jameel Grace 23 2-5 0-3 3-4 5 7 1 0 1 7 14 -
Yondarius Johnson 18 3-7 0-2 4-5 2 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
Madut Bol 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Crutcher * 39 5-14 1-4 3-5 2 6 0 0 2 14 6 -
Brandon Ellis * 36 5-10 2-3 0-2 2 3 0 0 2 12 5 -
Justin Banks * 18 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 0 2 6 -
Jose Long * 12 1-5 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Demarquelle Tabb 31 7-14 0-0 6-11 13 3 1 1 3 20 21 -
Tyler Davis 25 1-4 0-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 3 1 -
Green Hill 21 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 0 2 7 4 -
Nicholas West 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 3 6 -
Justin Wagner 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Justin Colvin 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Baryn Houston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter