Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Jaguars | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.0% | 2.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.2% | 1.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs -14 (68-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derick Beltran * | 40 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 15 | -2.2 |
| Brandon Moore * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Javan Mitchell * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Cameron Monroe * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Christopher Hyder * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -1.2 |
| Malcolm Miller | 30 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Jameel Grace | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | +1.4 |
| YonDarius Johnson | 18 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -5.3 |
| Madut Bol | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.0 |
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Crutcher * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Brandon Ellis * | 36 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -4.5 |
| Justan Banks * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -10.3 |
| Jose Long * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +8.9 |
| Demarquelle Tabb | 31 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 21 | +0.7 |
| Tyler Davis | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Green Hill | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Nicholas West | 10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Justin Wagner | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.2 |
| Justin Colvin | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Baryn Houston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
* = starter