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2013-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 45.8% 54.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 โœ“ (27.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +30 (85-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simons * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 3 6 11 -
Jordan Clarke * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 0 1 10 21 -
Seth VanDeest * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 8 -
Chris Hines * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 3 1 -
Micah Mason * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Richard Carter 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 16 17 -
Joey King 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 4 -
Jeremy Jeffers 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
Gary Ricks 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Daddy Ugbede 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
Kori Babineaux 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Sonnen * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 0 8 18 -
Deon Mitchell * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 20 23 -
Anthony James * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 10 13 -
Jake Koch * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 2 3 16 27 -
Seth Tuttle * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 2 3 10 17 -
Matt Bohannon 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
Nate Buss 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 9 15 -
Chip Rank 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Max Martino 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
Marvin Singleton 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Austin Pehl 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter