Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -8 (61-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Reddick * | 35 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +27.4 |
| Kendrec Ferrara * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | +8.2 |
| Bobby Austin * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +8.1 |
| Larry Wideman * | 29 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +14.3 |
| Stephen Croone * | 25 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 10 | +7.5 |
| Charlie Reddick | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +3.0 |
| David Brown | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +6.7 |
| Bryant Irwin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -3.4 |
| Kevin Chuisseu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.7 |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrell Armstrong * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -13.3 |
| David Williams * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -16.6 |
| Trevis Simpson * | 22 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Kayel Locke * | 21 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -16.0 |
| Drew Parker * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -13.0 |
| Nicholas Paulos | 30 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | -8.9 |
| Jordan Potts | 25 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6.4 |
| Kelvin McNeil | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Taylor Hoffer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1.4 |
* = starter