Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Army Black Knights -9 (50-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Smith * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Dunbar * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Knorr * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Venturini * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Smoot * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Loupos | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Alter | 22 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| P. Guglielmo | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| B. Wyatt | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| W. Kelly | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Wynn | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Toth * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| E. Ellis * | 26 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| D. Cox * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| L. Toomey * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Springer * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Wilson | 28 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| K. Ferguson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| M. Lenox | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Stire | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Plomb | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Gramling | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter