Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Army Black Knights -9 (50-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worth Smith * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | +17.2 |
| Tilman Dunbar * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +4.6 |
| Kendall Knorr * | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5.6 |
| Brandon Venturini * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Jared Smoot * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
| James Loupos | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +17.1 |
| Kevin Alter | 22 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +19.2 |
| Phil Guglielmo | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Brennan Wyatt | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +8.4 |
| Will Kelly | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Thurgood Wynn | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.4 |
| Jerome Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Toth * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | -16.9 |
| Ella Ellis * | 26 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | +2.8 |
| Dylan Cox * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +7.6 |
| Larry Toomey * | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -7.0 |
| Jordan Springer * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -10.9 |
| Kyle Wilson | 28 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | -8.1 |
| Kevin Ferguson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +5.6 |
| Mo Williams | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -16.1 |
| Maxwell Lenox | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -14.3 |
| Andrew Stire | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.1 |
| Tanner Plomb | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Matt Gramling | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.2 |
* = starter