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2013-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Margin 68.0% 32.0% -4.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 75.7% 24.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -8 (74-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Toles 0 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 2 5 -
A. Deluzio 0 6-18 2-9 5-6 2 1 3 1 1 19 7 -
N. Howard 0 3-7 0-0 6-8 5 0 4 2 2 12 14 -
J. Kamara 0 6-12 0-0 6-7 11 1 0 0 2 18 16 -
L. Rodriguez 0 6-10 1-4 8-8 3 0 3 0 4 21 13 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Goodwin-Coleman 0 4-12 1-6 1-1 4 4 3 0 1 10 8 -
K. Burke 0 8-14 0-1 0-0 8 1 1 3 3 16 12 -
M. Kastanek 0 6-12 2-5 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 14 9 -
B. Williams 0 2-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 -2 -
K. Barrett 0 2-9 1-5 5-6 5 8 2 0 4 10 12 -

* = starter